Across January–March 2026, actual network production trails the rolling 8-week prediction by 6–7.5% ($430K–$565K/week). The gap has THREE distinct causes — and they explain different amounts.
How the R8 prediction decomposes into actual production
These 7 practices have R8 averages but zero actual data in Jan–Mar 2026
| Practice | R8 Weekly | % of Ghost Total | Status |
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The gap is widening. January and February held at approximately -6%, but March slipped to -7.5%. Thursday is deteriorating fastest. The last two weeks of March saw the largest single-day variances, suggesting end-of-quarter scheduling issues or spring break closures compounding the structural gap.
Each bar is one working day in March, grouped by DOW, with R8 prediction line
Gap % relative to R8 prediction, by month
Every working day actual vs R8 predicted
| Day | Avg Actual | R8 Predicted | Gap ($) | Gap % | Reporting Practices | R8 Practice Count |
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How each OD region contributes to the total gap (non-ghost practices only)
| Ops Director | Practices | Avg R8 Daily (sum) | Daily Gap | Gap % | Weekly Impact |
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| Location ▲ | Ops Director ▲ | R8 Avg/Day ▲ | Actual Avg/Day ▲ | Gap ($) ▲ | Gap (%) ▲ | Trend ▲ | Jan Avg ▲ | Feb Avg ▲ | Mar Avg ▲ |
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